Description

This analysis provides a forecast of QNT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 48.107690 54.109799 60.367160 67.360122 74.939523 82.889144 91.839965
2024-10-20 38.240440 46.915914 56.527573 67.887894 80.867933 95.157075 111.995467
2024-10-27 31.451469 41.138127 52.352357 66.135715 82.456888 101.005236 123.509845
2024-11-03 28.579062 39.373437 52.316709 68.717685 88.673968 111.898690 140.686342
2024-11-10 25.790056 37.286766 51.523219 70.063344 93.169688 120.619841 155.272716
2024-11-17 22.908234 34.728287 49.829746 70.015373 95.743020 126.893098 166.876738
2024-11-24 21.536847 33.980135 50.297143 72.577609 101.493448 137.036930 183.261945
2024-12-01 19.363323 31.911278 48.834064 72.470426 103.731966 142.764378 194.213239
2024-12-08 17.192825 29.629852 46.887564 71.541690 104.761709 146.874569 203.106118
2024-12-15 15.594015 28.021378 45.725434 71.541224 106.911930 152.359883 213.738553
2024-12-22 14.179813 26.553238 44.639095 71.536721 108.978340 157.700932 224.203492
2024-12-29 13.684743 26.457663 45.498679 74.242302 114.730946 167.916613 241.080525
2025-01-05 12.682773 25.499097 45.066945 75.138618 118.098435 175.158790 254.373983
2025-01-12 11.683182 24.457880 44.444179 75.716989 121.023776 181.863669 267.087367
2025-01-19 10.215931 22.474644 42.230415 73.814936 120.337625 183.615534 273.183474
2025-01-26 9.922737 22.509223 43.163720 76.616167 126.379580 194.580370 291.710414
2025-02-02 9.371192 22.025725 43.227444 78.075141 130.493669 202.944709 306.834426
2025-02-09 8.570791 21.004315 42.346042 78.023144 132.374203 208.220878 317.819008
2025-02-16 8.359739 21.080138 43.274521 80.799663 138.448831 219.408503 336.986210
2025-02-23 7.653758 20.122797 42.400702 80.683556 140.204209 224.542710 347.899367
2025-03-02 6.865577 18.915459 41.017352 79.677350 140.566813 227.677097 356.056621
2025-03-09 6.302983 18.112480 40.285095 79.676846 142.419829 232.928198 367.185417
2025-03-16 5.786941 17.351864 39.576996 79.671966 144.239680 238.131695 378.284969